Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Amsterdam on June 23, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes amid tight clustering around 29–31°C. Key drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, which supports modest warming above seasonal normals near 20–22°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce convective cooling. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any thin cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities closely matched between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the consensus as the short-range window narrows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 23?
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$80,819 Vol.
$80,819 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$80,819 Vol.
$80,819 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
$12,846 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,227 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,775 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,975 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,508 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,518 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,592 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,577 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,607 Vol.
No
35°C
$649 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Amsterdam on June 23, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes amid tight clustering around 29–31°C. Key drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, which supports modest warming above seasonal normals near 20–22°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce convective cooling. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any thin cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities closely matched between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the consensus as the short-range window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$80,819End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Amsterdam on June 23, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes amid tight clustering around 29–31°C. Key drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, which supports modest warming above seasonal normals near 20–22°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce convective cooling. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any thin cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities closely matched between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the consensus as the short-range window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,819End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Amsterdam on June 23, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes amid tight clustering around 29–31°C. Key drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, which supports modest warming above seasonal normals near 20–22°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce convective cooling. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any thin cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities closely matched between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the consensus as the short-range window narrows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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