Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and European sources indicate moderating conditions over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam highs on June 29 expected near 21–24 °C under a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers. This aligns with typical late-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 19–21 °C, though recent warmer spells earlier in the month have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal range. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow that could push readings to 26 °C or higher, while cooler northwesterly influences reduce odds of extremes below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 29?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,814 Vol.
$52,814 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,814 Vol.
$52,814 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and European sources indicate moderating conditions over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam highs on June 29 expected near 21–24 °C under a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers. This aligns with typical late-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 19–21 °C, though recent warmer spells earlier in the month have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal range. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow that could push readings to 26 °C or higher, while cooler northwesterly influences reduce odds of extremes below 22 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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