Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the Polymarket resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on May 24, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure systems, light easterly winds, and predominantly clear skies limited daytime heating and convective mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-spring climatological norms near 23°C average highs. Multiple forecast models converged on this value days ahead, reflecting typical May conditions without significant warm-air advection or anomalous solar input. A shift in observed data from revised station readings or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter resolution, though current consensus across agencies makes such revisions unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 24?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$46,079 Vol.
$46,079 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$46,079 Vol.
$46,079 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the Polymarket resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on May 24, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure systems, light easterly winds, and predominantly clear skies limited daytime heating and convective mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-spring climatological norms near 23°C average highs. Multiple forecast models converged on this value days ahead, reflecting typical May conditions without significant warm-air advection or anomalous solar input. A shift in observed data from revised station readings or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter resolution, though current consensus across agencies makes such revisions unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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