Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 Vol.
$59,920 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 Vol.
$59,920 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
$2,537 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,604 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,705 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,797 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,966 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,314 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,744 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,136 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$7,660 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,861 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$6,596 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,920End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,920End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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