**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models position Ankara’s maximum temperature at 33°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region (typical August highs near 29–32°C). Real-time observations through midday confirm readings climbing toward 33°C without signs of additional warming from cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 33°C outcome because any deviation would require unexpected changes in the synoptic pattern before evening observations close. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Ankara’s primary weather station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$53,263 Vol.
$53,263 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$53,263 Vol.
$53,263 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$2,188 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,086 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,355 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,757 Vol.
No
32°C
$25,327 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,730 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$6,146 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,974 Vol.
No
36°C
$232 Vol.
No
37°C
$180 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$286 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models position Ankara’s maximum temperature at 33°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region (typical August highs near 29–32°C). Real-time observations through midday confirm readings climbing toward 33°C without signs of additional warming from cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 33°C outcome because any deviation would require unexpected changes in the synoptic pattern before evening observations close. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Ankara’s primary weather station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$53,263End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models position Ankara’s maximum temperature at 33°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region (typical August highs near 29–32°C). Real-time observations through midday confirm readings climbing toward 33°C without signs of additional warming from cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 33°C outcome because any deviation would require unexpected changes in the synoptic pattern before evening observations close. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Ankara’s primary weather station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,263End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models position Ankara’s maximum temperature at 33°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region (typical August highs near 29–32°C). Real-time observations through midday confirm readings climbing toward 33°C without signs of additional warming from cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 33°C outcome because any deviation would require unexpected changes in the synoptic pattern before evening observations close. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Ankara’s primary weather station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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