Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on August 22 will most likely reach 34–35°C under clear, sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent high-pressure dominance across central Turkey, limiting moisture and allowing efficient solar radiation absorption, consistent with late-summer climatology where Ankara highs average near 32°C but can exceed it during stable anticyclonic periods. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 34–35°C range, reflecting traders' aggregation of ensemble guidance and real-time observational updates, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above due to limited intensification signals in current model runs. Uncertainty remains around exact maximum readings, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local topography could shift outcomes by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
35°C 57%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
40%
35°C
57%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 57%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$584 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,237 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,585 Vol.
40%
35°C
$2,127 Vol.
57%
36°C
$738 Vol.
4%
37°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on August 22 will most likely reach 34–35°C under clear, sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent high-pressure dominance across central Turkey, limiting moisture and allowing efficient solar radiation absorption, consistent with late-summer climatology where Ankara highs average near 32°C but can exceed it during stable anticyclonic periods. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 34–35°C range, reflecting traders' aggregation of ensemble guidance and real-time observational updates, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above due to limited intensification signals in current model runs. Uncertainty remains around exact maximum readings, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local topography could shift outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,668End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on August 22 will most likely reach 34–35°C under clear, sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent high-pressure dominance across central Turkey, limiting moisture and allowing efficient solar radiation absorption, consistent with late-summer climatology where Ankara highs average near 32°C but can exceed it during stable anticyclonic periods. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 34–35°C range, reflecting traders' aggregation of ensemble guidance and real-time observational updates, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above due to limited intensification signals in current model runs. Uncertainty remains around exact maximum readings, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local topography could shift outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,668End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on August 22 will most likely reach 34–35°C under clear, sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent high-pressure dominance across central Turkey, limiting moisture and allowing efficient solar radiation absorption, consistent with late-summer climatology where Ankara highs average near 32°C but can exceed it during stable anticyclonic periods. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 34–35°C range, reflecting traders' aggregation of ensemble guidance and real-time observational updates, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above due to limited intensification signals in current model runs. Uncertainty remains around exact maximum readings, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local topography could shift outcomes by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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