Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Vol.
$80,151 Vol.
May 1, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Vol.
$80,151 Vol.
May 1, 2026
11°C or below
$1,183 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,025 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,900 Vol.
No
14°C
$17,578 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,851 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$9,532 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,701 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,986 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,726 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,700 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$4,969 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$80,151End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,151End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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