Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 76-77°F in Atlanta on May 4, driven by official observations from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL), the standard measurement site per National Weather Service protocols. Automated station data confirmed a peak of 77°F around early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dry conditions, capping warming after a cool morning low near 43°F—cooler than the May climatological average high of 79°F due to lingering effects of a recent upper-level trough. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated this range 24 hours prior, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors or disputes over the exact resolution source (e.g., Weather Underground vs. raw METAR), though such shifts are improbable at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 4?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$211,312 Vol.
$211,312 Vol.
May 4, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$211,312 Vol.
$211,312 Vol.
May 4, 2026
69°F or below
$11,124 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$11,054 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,535 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$14,600 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$31,801 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$56,311 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$44,381 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$11,504 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,025 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,506 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$11,472 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 76-77°F in Atlanta on May 4, driven by official observations from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL), the standard measurement site per National Weather Service protocols. Automated station data confirmed a peak of 77°F around early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dry conditions, capping warming after a cool morning low near 43°F—cooler than the May climatological average high of 79°F due to lingering effects of a recent upper-level trough. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated this range 24 hours prior, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors or disputes over the exact resolution source (e.g., Weather Underground vs. raw METAR), though such shifts are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$211,312End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 76-77°F in Atlanta on May 4, driven by official observations from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL), the standard measurement site per National Weather Service protocols. Automated station data confirmed a peak of 77°F around early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dry conditions, capping warming after a cool morning low near 43°F—cooler than the May climatological average high of 79°F due to lingering effects of a recent upper-level trough. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated this range 24 hours prior, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors or disputes over the exact resolution source (e.g., Weather Underground vs. raw METAR), though such shifts are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$211,312End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 76-77°F in Atlanta on May 4, driven by official observations from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL), the standard measurement site per National Weather Service protocols. Automated station data confirmed a peak of 77°F around early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dry conditions, capping warming after a cool morning low near 43°F—cooler than the May climatological average high of 79°F due to lingering effects of a recent upper-level trough. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated this range 24 hours prior, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors or disputes over the exact resolution source (e.g., Weather Underground vs. raw METAR), though such shifts are improbable at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions