**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major guidance show Atlanta’s July 5 high centered in the low-to-mid 90s, with afternoon scattered thunderstorms introducing the main uncertainty that keeps the two leading bins (92-93°F and 94-95°F) nearly tied at roughly 30% each.** A persistent heat dome and southerly flow support temperatures well above the July climatological average of ~89–92°F, but model consensus points to convective initiation by early afternoon that could cap the peak or produce localized cooling. Official NWS guidance lists a high near 92–96°F depending on the exact run and timing of storms, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 90–95°F range. The narrow spread between the top outcomes reflects genuine forecast variance in storm coverage and intensity rather than any single dominant driver. Traders are effectively pricing the balance between strong background warmth and the moderating effect of convection expected on the holiday weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on July 5?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 5?
92-93°F 100%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$62,310 Vol.
$62,310 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$62,310 Vol.
$62,310 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
85°F or below
$3,755 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,846 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,949 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$6,972 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$10,847 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$13,703 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$6,281 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,819 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,862 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,692 Vol.
No
104°F or higher
$1,583 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major guidance show Atlanta’s July 5 high centered in the low-to-mid 90s, with afternoon scattered thunderstorms introducing the main uncertainty that keeps the two leading bins (92-93°F and 94-95°F) nearly tied at roughly 30% each.**
A persistent heat dome and southerly flow support temperatures well above the July climatological average of ~89–92°F, but model consensus points to convective initiation by early afternoon that could cap the peak or produce localized cooling. Official NWS guidance lists a high near 92–96°F depending on the exact run and timing of storms, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 90–95°F range. The narrow spread between the top outcomes reflects genuine forecast variance in storm coverage and intensity rather than any single dominant driver. Traders are effectively pricing the balance between strong background warmth and the moderating effect of convection expected on the holiday weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$62,310End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major guidance show Atlanta’s July 5 high centered in the low-to-mid 90s, with afternoon scattered thunderstorms introducing the main uncertainty that keeps the two leading bins (92-93°F and 94-95°F) nearly tied at roughly 30% each.**
A persistent heat dome and southerly flow support temperatures well above the July climatological average of ~89–92°F, but model consensus points to convective initiation by early afternoon that could cap the peak or produce localized cooling. Official NWS guidance lists a high near 92–96°F depending on the exact run and timing of storms, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 90–95°F range. The narrow spread between the top outcomes reflects genuine forecast variance in storm coverage and intensity rather than any single dominant driver. Traders are effectively pricing the balance between strong background warmth and the moderating effect of convection expected on the holiday weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,310End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major guidance show Atlanta’s July 5 high centered in the low-to-mid 90s, with afternoon scattered thunderstorms introducing the main uncertainty that keeps the two leading bins (92-93°F and 94-95°F) nearly tied at roughly 30% each.** A persistent heat dome and southerly flow support temperatures well above the July climatological average of ~89–92°F, but model consensus points to convective initiation by early afternoon that could cap the peak or produce localized cooling. Official NWS guidance lists a high near 92–96°F depending on the exact run and timing of storms, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 90–95°F range. The narrow spread between the top outcomes reflects genuine forecast variance in storm coverage and intensity rather than any single dominant driver. Traders are effectively pricing the balance between strong background warmth and the moderating effect of convection expected on the holiday weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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