National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 21?
62°F or higher 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$78,018 Vol.
$78,018 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
Yes
62°F or higher 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$78,018 Vol.
$78,018 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
43°F or below
$570 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$683 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$588 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$682 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$675 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,528 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$902 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,883 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,468 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$5,458 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$58,582 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$78,018End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,018End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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