Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 16?
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Vol.
$42,434 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Vol.
$42,434 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
75°F or below
$2,475 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,049 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,668 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,449 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,527 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,659 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,832 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,284 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$6,070 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$4,613 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$2,809 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$42,434End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,434End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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