Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 26?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$122,101 Vol.
$122,101 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$122,101 Vol.
$122,101 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
20°C or below
$3,294 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,329 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,264 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,496 Vol.
No
24°C
$27,679 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$16,791 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,607 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,477 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,814 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,928 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,425 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$122,101End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,101End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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