Trader consensus on a 28°C high for Beijing on June 13 reflects the latest model guidance and observational trends showing maximum temperatures capped near this level amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. June climatology places typical highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the east have suppressed diurnal heating, aligning with forecasts from regional meteorological centers that limit peak readings. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration, reported at standard 2-meter height, will determine resolution once the full daily maximum is confirmed. Any unexpected clearing or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while additional convective activity or a shift in wind direction might hold temperatures at or below 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 13?
28°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$155,842 Vol.
$155,842 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$155,842 Vol.
$155,842 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 28°C high for Beijing on June 13 reflects the latest model guidance and observational trends showing maximum temperatures capped near this level amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. June climatology places typical highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the east have suppressed diurnal heating, aligning with forecasts from regional meteorological centers that limit peak readings. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration, reported at standard 2-meter height, will determine resolution once the full daily maximum is confirmed. Any unexpected clearing or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while additional convective activity or a shift in wind direction might hold temperatures at or below 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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