Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 19?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 19?
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
54%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
10°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$450 Vol.
1%
13°C
$9 Vol.
1%
14°C
$175 Vol.
6%
15°C
$346 Vol.
11%
16°C
$544 Vol.
54%
17°C
$112 Vol.
25%
18°C
$11 Vol.
8%
19°C
$13 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,264End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,264End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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