Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$159,569 Vol.
$159,569 Vol.
May 6, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$159,569 Vol.
$159,569 Vol.
May 6, 2026
17°C or below
$2,056 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,886 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,894 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,664 Vol.
No
21°C
$11,516 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,941 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,623 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,077 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,537 Vol.
No
26°C
$52,925 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$37,448 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$159,569End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$159,569End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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