Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,945 Vol.
$61,945 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,945 Vol.
$61,945 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
$4,794 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,020 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,925 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,900 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,813 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,394 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,788 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,392 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,916 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,369 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$635 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$61,945End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,945End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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