Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models established a daily maximum of 28°C in Chengdu on May 31 under typical Sichuan Basin conditions of moderate humidity and partial cloud cover that limited afternoon heating. This reading matches the long-term climatological average high of roughly 28.5°C for late May, with consistent model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels reinforcing trader confidence. The market-implied odds reflect verified observational data resolving the outcome at that precise threshold. An unexpected clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could have elevated readings above 28°C, while thicker cloud decks or rainfall might have suppressed the high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 31?
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$51,946 Vol.
$51,946 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$51,946 Vol.
$51,946 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models established a daily maximum of 28°C in Chengdu on May 31 under typical Sichuan Basin conditions of moderate humidity and partial cloud cover that limited afternoon heating. This reading matches the long-term climatological average high of roughly 28.5°C for late May, with consistent model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels reinforcing trader confidence. The market-implied odds reflect verified observational data resolving the outcome at that precise threshold. An unexpected clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could have elevated readings above 28°C, while thicker cloud decks or rainfall might have suppressed the high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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