Recent forecast updates from meteorological agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 15, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures at or below 28°C. These conditions align with seasonal monsoon influences that enhance atmospheric moisture and suppress peak readings, consistent with historical patterns where precipitation events cap highs near the monthly average of 28–29°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time model agreement on stable, overcast conditions through the afternoon. Unanticipated rapid clearing or stronger insolation from shifting wind patterns could allow temperatures to exceed the threshold before sunset, though current observational data show low likelihood of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$83,844 Vol.
$83,844 Vol.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$83,844 Vol.
$83,844 Vol.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent forecast updates from meteorological agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 15, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures at or below 28°C. These conditions align with seasonal monsoon influences that enhance atmospheric moisture and suppress peak readings, consistent with historical patterns where precipitation events cap highs near the monthly average of 28–29°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time model agreement on stable, overcast conditions through the afternoon. Unanticipated rapid clearing or stronger insolation from shifting wind patterns could allow temperatures to exceed the threshold before sunset, though current observational data show low likelihood of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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