Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 15?
33°C 32%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
24%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 32%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
$435 Vol.
1%
28°C
$18 Vol.
1%
29°C
$36 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$4 Vol.
24%
33°C
$17 Vol.
32%
34°C
$32 Vol.
22%
35°C
$5 Vol.
6%
36°C
$71 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$21 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$642End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$642End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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