Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 15?
38°C or higher 37%
37°C 27%
36°C 26%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
7%
35°C
9%
36°C
26%
37°C
28%
38°C or higher
37%
38°C or higher 37%
37°C 27%
36°C 26%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
$85 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$235 Vol.
1%
34°C
$54 Vol.
7%
35°C
$15 Vol.
9%
36°C
$16 Vol.
26%
37°C
$16 Vol.
28%
38°C or higher
$29 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$499End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$499End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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