Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 19. This setup favors the market-leading 104-105°F bin (48% implied probability) and nearby 102-103°F outcome (31.5%), as subsidence warms the air mass while clear skies maximize solar heating. Recent model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reflect minimal cooling overnight and limited moisture, keeping daily maxima in the mid-100s. Historical August records near 108°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of frontal systems make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 19?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 19?
104-105°F 49%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
108-109°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
49%
106-107°F
12%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 49%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
108-109°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
99°F or below
$204 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$160 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$264 Vol.
32%
104-105°F
$484 Vol.
49%
106-107°F
$252 Vol.
12%
108-109°F
$349 Vol.
5%
110-111°F
$209 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$259 Vol.
1%
114-115°F
$283 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$310 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 19. This setup favors the market-leading 104-105°F bin (48% implied probability) and nearby 102-103°F outcome (31.5%), as subsidence warms the air mass while clear skies maximize solar heating. Recent model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reflect minimal cooling overnight and limited moisture, keeping daily maxima in the mid-100s. Historical August records near 108°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of frontal systems make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,925End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 19. This setup favors the market-leading 104-105°F bin (48% implied probability) and nearby 102-103°F outcome (31.5%), as subsidence warms the air mass while clear skies maximize solar heating. Recent model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reflect minimal cooling overnight and limited moisture, keeping daily maxima in the mid-100s. Historical August records near 108°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of frontal systems make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,925End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 19. This setup favors the market-leading 104-105°F bin (48% implied probability) and nearby 102-103°F outcome (31.5%), as subsidence warms the air mass while clear skies maximize solar heating. Recent model consensus and ongoing heat advisories reflect minimal cooling overnight and limited moisture, keeping daily maxima in the mid-100s. Historical August records near 108°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of frontal systems make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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