Official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded the highest temperature on April 30 at 46-47°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% consensus on that outcome as the market resolved. This positioning reflects verified measurements amid persistent drizzle, widespread showers, and extensive cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough, which limited solar insolation and diurnal heating despite typical late-April potential for stronger warming. NOAA forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh had accurately anticipated subdued highs in the mid-40s, well below the climatological normal of 65°F. While post-event data audits are routine, significant revisions are exceedingly rare given rigorous quality controls; unexpected sensor anomalies would be required to challenge this firm scientific confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 30?
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$85,154 Vol.
$85,154 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$85,154 Vol.
$85,154 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
37°F or below
$3,894 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$4,427 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$7,160 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$4,626 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$6,802 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$7,572 Vol.
Yes
48-49°F
$7,202 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$8,113 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$8,249 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$11,619 Vol.
No
56°F or higher
$15,491 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded the highest temperature on April 30 at 46-47°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% consensus on that outcome as the market resolved. This positioning reflects verified measurements amid persistent drizzle, widespread showers, and extensive cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough, which limited solar insolation and diurnal heating despite typical late-April potential for stronger warming. NOAA forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh had accurately anticipated subdued highs in the mid-40s, well below the climatological normal of 65°F. While post-event data audits are routine, significant revisions are exceedingly rare given rigorous quality controls; unexpected sensor anomalies would be required to challenge this firm scientific confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Volume
$85,154End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded the highest temperature on April 30 at 46-47°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% consensus on that outcome as the market resolved. This positioning reflects verified measurements amid persistent drizzle, widespread showers, and extensive cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough, which limited solar insolation and diurnal heating despite typical late-April potential for stronger warming. NOAA forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh had accurately anticipated subdued highs in the mid-40s, well below the climatological normal of 65°F. While post-event data audits are routine, significant revisions are exceedingly rare given rigorous quality controls; unexpected sensor anomalies would be required to challenge this firm scientific confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,154End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded the highest temperature on April 30 at 46-47°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% consensus on that outcome as the market resolved. This positioning reflects verified measurements amid persistent drizzle, widespread showers, and extensive cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough, which limited solar insolation and diurnal heating despite typical late-April potential for stronger warming. NOAA forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh had accurately anticipated subdued highs in the mid-40s, well below the climatological normal of 65°F. While post-event data audits are routine, significant revisions are exceedingly rare given rigorous quality controls; unexpected sensor anomalies would be required to challenge this firm scientific confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions