Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely aligned forecast model outputs projecting Guangzhou's highest temperature today at 31–33°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and strengthening solar insolation typical of mid-April subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF show consensus highs near 31°C, with slight divergences due to urban heat island amplification in the densely built Pearl River Delta and potential sea breeze moderation in the afternoon. Historical April 15 averages hover at 27–29°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports elevated readings. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak heating (mid-afternoon) and any isolated convective showers, with real-time station data from official observatories expected to clarify outcomes by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 15?
30°C or below 25%
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
30°C or below
25%
31°C
25%
32°C
25%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
16%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
30°C or below 25%
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
30°C or below
$12 Vol.
25%
31°C
$6 Vol.
25%
32°C
$8 Vol.
25%
33°C
$39 Vol.
22%
34°C
$51 Vol.
12%
35°C
$25 Vol.
16%
36°C
$250 Vol.
16%
37°C
$246 Vol.
3%
38°C
$511 Vol.
5%
39°C
$519 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$235 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely aligned forecast model outputs projecting Guangzhou's highest temperature today at 31–33°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and strengthening solar insolation typical of mid-April subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF show consensus highs near 31°C, with slight divergences due to urban heat island amplification in the densely built Pearl River Delta and potential sea breeze moderation in the afternoon. Historical April 15 averages hover at 27–29°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports elevated readings. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak heating (mid-afternoon) and any isolated convective showers, with real-time station data from official observatories expected to clarify outcomes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,903End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely aligned forecast model outputs projecting Guangzhou's highest temperature today at 31–33°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and strengthening solar insolation typical of mid-April subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF show consensus highs near 31°C, with slight divergences due to urban heat island amplification in the densely built Pearl River Delta and potential sea breeze moderation in the afternoon. Historical April 15 averages hover at 27–29°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports elevated readings. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak heating (mid-afternoon) and any isolated convective showers, with real-time station data from official observatories expected to clarify outcomes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,903End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely aligned forecast model outputs projecting Guangzhou's highest temperature today at 31–33°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and strengthening solar insolation typical of mid-April subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF show consensus highs near 31°C, with slight divergences due to urban heat island amplification in the densely built Pearl River Delta and potential sea breeze moderation in the afternoon. Historical April 15 averages hover at 27–29°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports elevated readings. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak heating (mid-afternoon) and any isolated convective showers, with real-time station data from official observatories expected to clarify outcomes by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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