NEA's latest 24-hour forecast projects a maximum temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16 amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring light south-southwest winds and thundery showers in the late morning to afternoon, yet traders price 32°C highest at 36% implied probability, with 31°C (27.5%) and 33°C (22.5%) close behind. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in convective activity: widespread afternoon showers could cap peak heating around 2-4pm via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, suppressing to 31-32°C, while patchy coverage or delays might allow greater solar insolation for 33°C peaks at Changi Airport station. Daily highs in the first half of April 2026 are expected at 33-35°C on less cloudy days per fortnightly outlook, with NEA updates throughout the day providing resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
33°C 23%
30°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
33°C 23%
30°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's latest 24-hour forecast projects a maximum temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16 amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring light south-southwest winds and thundery showers in the late morning to afternoon, yet traders price 32°C highest at 36% implied probability, with 31°C (27.5%) and 33°C (22.5%) close behind. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in convective activity: widespread afternoon showers could cap peak heating around 2-4pm via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, suppressing to 31-32°C, while patchy coverage or delays might allow greater solar insolation for 33°C peaks at Changi Airport station. Daily highs in the first half of April 2026 are expected at 33-35°C on less cloudy days per fortnightly outlook, with NEA updates throughout the day providing resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions