Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 34°C (31.5% implied probability) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, closely trailed by 32°C (24.5%) and 31°C (22.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in BMKG forecasts amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent observations, including 33.7°C on April 2 and 32°C on April 14 under partly cloudy skies, support potential urban heat island amplification in the capital, where sea breezes and high humidity often cap peaks near 32°C climatological April averages. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—greater insolation under clearer skies favors 34°C, while increased berawan (overcast) conditions from BMKG guidance suppress maxima to 31°C—pending final model updates and observations from Halim Perdanakusuma station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
33°C 48%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
24%
33°C
32%
34°C
33%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
28°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$309 Vol.
1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$15 Vol.
32%
34°C
$46 Vol.
33%
35°C
$5 Vol.
11%
36°C
$18 Vol.
5%
37°C
$261 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 34°C (31.5% implied probability) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, closely trailed by 32°C (24.5%) and 31°C (22.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in BMKG forecasts amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent observations, including 33.7°C on April 2 and 32°C on April 14 under partly cloudy skies, support potential urban heat island amplification in the capital, where sea breezes and high humidity often cap peaks near 32°C climatological April averages. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—greater insolation under clearer skies favors 34°C, while increased berawan (overcast) conditions from BMKG guidance suppress maxima to 31°C—pending final model updates and observations from Halim Perdanakusuma station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$1,137End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 34°C (31.5% implied probability) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, closely trailed by 32°C (24.5%) and 31°C (22.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in BMKG forecasts amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent observations, including 33.7°C on April 2 and 32°C on April 14 under partly cloudy skies, support potential urban heat island amplification in the capital, where sea breezes and high humidity often cap peaks near 32°C climatological April averages. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—greater insolation under clearer skies favors 34°C, while increased berawan (overcast) conditions from BMKG guidance suppress maxima to 31°C—pending final model updates and observations from Halim Perdanakusuma station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,137End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 34°C (31.5% implied probability) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 16, closely trailed by 32°C (24.5%) and 31°C (22.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in BMKG forecasts amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent observations, including 33.7°C on April 2 and 32°C on April 14 under partly cloudy skies, support potential urban heat island amplification in the capital, where sea breezes and high humidity often cap peaks near 32°C climatological April averages. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—greater insolation under clearer skies favors 34°C, while increased berawan (overcast) conditions from BMKG guidance suppress maxima to 31°C—pending final model updates and observations from Halim Perdanakusuma station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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