Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature today, April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 28°C, 30°C, and 36°C or higher, driven by conflicting short-term forecast model outputs and recent atmospheric shifts. Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show a cooling trend after April 12's 39.5°C peak, as sea breezes—coastal winds moderating inland heat—resumed yesterday, dropping afternoon highs from 36°C on April 14 amid overcast skies and humidity rises to 80%. Ensemble forecasts like those from open-meteo center on 31°C maxima under partly cloudy conditions, but divergences arise from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus potential clear afternoons allowing 36°C+ surges; official station data at Jinnah International Airport will resolve, with updates expected hourly through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
32°C 8%
33°C 7.0%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
23%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
32°C 8%
33°C 7.0%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
26°C or below
$235 Vol.
1%
27°C
$211 Vol.
2%
28°C
$214 Vol.
21%
29°C
$204 Vol.
5%
30°C
$15 Vol.
24%
31°C
$7 Vol.
3%
32°C
$27 Vol.
8%
33°C
$27 Vol.
7%
34°C
$29 Vol.
6%
35°C
$31 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$19 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature today, April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 28°C, 30°C, and 36°C or higher, driven by conflicting short-term forecast model outputs and recent atmospheric shifts. Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show a cooling trend after April 12's 39.5°C peak, as sea breezes—coastal winds moderating inland heat—resumed yesterday, dropping afternoon highs from 36°C on April 14 amid overcast skies and humidity rises to 80%. Ensemble forecasts like those from open-meteo center on 31°C maxima under partly cloudy conditions, but divergences arise from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus potential clear afternoons allowing 36°C+ surges; official station data at Jinnah International Airport will resolve, with updates expected hourly through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,016End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature today, April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 28°C, 30°C, and 36°C or higher, driven by conflicting short-term forecast model outputs and recent atmospheric shifts. Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show a cooling trend after April 12's 39.5°C peak, as sea breezes—coastal winds moderating inland heat—resumed yesterday, dropping afternoon highs from 36°C on April 14 amid overcast skies and humidity rises to 80%. Ensemble forecasts like those from open-meteo center on 31°C maxima under partly cloudy conditions, but divergences arise from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus potential clear afternoons allowing 36°C+ surges; official station data at Jinnah International Airport will resolve, with updates expected hourly through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,016End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature today, April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 28°C, 30°C, and 36°C or higher, driven by conflicting short-term forecast model outputs and recent atmospheric shifts. Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show a cooling trend after April 12's 39.5°C peak, as sea breezes—coastal winds moderating inland heat—resumed yesterday, dropping afternoon highs from 36°C on April 14 amid overcast skies and humidity rises to 80%. Ensemble forecasts like those from open-meteo center on 31°C maxima under partly cloudy conditions, but divergences arise from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus potential clear afternoons allowing 36°C+ surges; official station data at Jinnah International Airport will resolve, with updates expected hourly through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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