Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate peak temperatures aligning closely with 31°C on June 17, driven by typical early summer subtropical conditions including high humidity, southerly airflow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show consistency with historical June averages of 30–32°C highs, where urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta further support elevated readings. This market consensus at 100% reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, though unexpected heavy rainfall or increased cloudiness from monsoon influences could lower maxima by 2–3°C and shift outcomes. Updated observations through the afternoon will confirm final resolution against precise measurement thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate peak temperatures aligning closely with 31°C on June 17, driven by typical early summer subtropical conditions including high humidity, southerly airflow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show consistency with historical June averages of 30–32°C highs, where urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta further support elevated readings. This market consensus at 100% reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, though unexpected heavy rainfall or increased cloudiness from monsoon influences could lower maxima by 2–3°C and shift outcomes. Updated observations through the afternoon will confirm final resolution against precise measurement thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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