Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Vol.
$40,831 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Vol.
$40,831 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
$391 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,680 Vol.
No
28°C
$507 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,424 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,555 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,433 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,794 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$5,862 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,704 Vol.
No
35°C
$828 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,652 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$40,831End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,831End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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