Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 13?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
79°F or below
$432 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$427 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$661 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,508 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,242 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,435 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$9,564 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,557 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$5,249 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,065 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$1,753 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$39,893End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,893End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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