Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 19?
94-95°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
98-99°F 7%
NEW
$11,707 Vol.
NEW
$11,707 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
48%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
98-99°F 7%
NEW
$11,707 Vol.
NEW
$11,707 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$365 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$805 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$326 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$740 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$2,555 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$2,703 Vol.
48%
96-97°F
$1,397 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$960 Vol.
7%
100-101°F
$704 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$741 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$11,707End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,707End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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