Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 Vol.
$127,165 Vol.
May 2, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 Vol.
$127,165 Vol.
May 2, 2026
28°C or below
$3,850 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,215 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,988 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,050 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,009 Vol.
No
33°C
$28,424 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$9,050 Vol.
No
35°C
$42,922 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,396 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,531 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$4,729 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$127,165End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$127,165End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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