Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,432 Vol.
$72,432 Vol.
May 3, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,432 Vol.
$72,432 Vol.
May 3, 2026
28°C or below
$3,589 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,776 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,662 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,260 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,462 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,725 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,729 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$13,309 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,388 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,447 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$3,084 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$72,432End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,432End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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