Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 22?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 22?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,193 Vol.
$35,193 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,193 Vol.
$35,193 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
24°C or below
$636 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,029 Vol.
No
26°C
$943 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,071 Vol.
No
28°C
$764 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,451 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,255 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,997 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,779 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,528 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$3,739 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$35,193End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,193End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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