Recent forecasts for Karachi show daily highs near 31–34°C through June 25, consistent with long-term June averages of 34–36°C and moderated by Arabian Sea breezes. Patchy rain or increased cloud cover expected that day could limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal norm, favoring the tightly clustered 33–35°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, which typically peaks midday and reduces maximums by 2–3°C, versus clear-sky insolation that would allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains narrow this close to the date, with any shift in monsoon moisture or wind direction likely determining whether the high settles near 34°C or edges toward 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 25?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,880 Vol.
$38,880 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,880 Vol.
$38,880 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Karachi show daily highs near 31–34°C through June 25, consistent with long-term June averages of 34–36°C and moderated by Arabian Sea breezes. Patchy rain or increased cloud cover expected that day could limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal norm, favoring the tightly clustered 33–35°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, which typically peaks midday and reduces maximums by 2–3°C, versus clear-sky insolation that would allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains narrow this close to the date, with any shift in monsoon moisture or wind direction likely determining whether the high settles near 34°C or edges toward 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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