Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) surface observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, 2026, peaked at 35°C at the Masroor Airbase Station—the authoritative resolution source—solidifying trader consensus with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome. This matches PMD's forecast of 34-36°C maxima, following moderation from an early-May heatwave that exceeded 44°C due to strengthened southerly sea breezes reducing continental heating. Typical May highs average 35°C amid pre-monsoon patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-validation data revisions from official PMD stations indicating 36°C or higher, though validated readings carry strong finality absent new evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 10?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 10?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,063 Vol.
$21,063 Vol.
May 10, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,063 Vol.
$21,063 Vol.
May 10, 2026
26°C or below
$817 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,253 Vol.
No
28°C
$574 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,791 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,106 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,660 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,126 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,354 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,201 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,818 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$2,363 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) surface observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, 2026, peaked at 35°C at the Masroor Airbase Station—the authoritative resolution source—solidifying trader consensus with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome. This matches PMD's forecast of 34-36°C maxima, following moderation from an early-May heatwave that exceeded 44°C due to strengthened southerly sea breezes reducing continental heating. Typical May highs average 35°C amid pre-monsoon patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-validation data revisions from official PMD stations indicating 36°C or higher, though validated readings carry strong finality absent new evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Volume
$21,063End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) surface observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, 2026, peaked at 35°C at the Masroor Airbase Station—the authoritative resolution source—solidifying trader consensus with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome. This matches PMD's forecast of 34-36°C maxima, following moderation from an early-May heatwave that exceeded 44°C due to strengthened southerly sea breezes reducing continental heating. Typical May highs average 35°C amid pre-monsoon patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-validation data revisions from official PMD stations indicating 36°C or higher, though validated readings carry strong finality absent new evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,063End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) surface observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, 2026, peaked at 35°C at the Masroor Airbase Station—the authoritative resolution source—solidifying trader consensus with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome. This matches PMD's forecast of 34-36°C maxima, following moderation from an early-May heatwave that exceeded 44°C due to strengthened southerly sea breezes reducing continental heating. Typical May highs average 35°C amid pre-monsoon patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-validation data revisions from official PMD stations indicating 36°C or higher, though validated readings carry strong finality absent new evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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