Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 25?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 25?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
26°C or below
$26,635 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,737 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,360 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,051 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,748 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,311 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,582 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,651 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,481 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,670 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$4,539 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$70,764End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,764End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (station DNMM/LOS) records the highest temperature in Lagos on April 25, 2026, at 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs around 32°C amid typical April conditions—warm, humid maritime air with partial cloud cover limiting extremes—and historical April averages of 31–33°C. Weather Underground historical summaries confirm the peak via METAR reports, with no notable heatwave signals. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station discrepancies or NiMet audits, though official aggregation rarely shifts post-publication. Market awaits final resolution per platform criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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