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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?

Apr 14

Apr 15

Apr 16

Apr 14

Apr 15

Apr 16

68-69°F 33%

70-71°F 26.5%

66-67°F 15%

74°F or higher 12%

Polymarket
NEW

68-69°F 33%

70-71°F 26.5%

66-67°F 15%

74°F or higher 12%

Polymarket
NEW

55°F or below

$577 Vol.

<1%

56-57°F

$281 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$381 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$409 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$275 Vol.

2%

64-65°F

$61 Vol.

4%

66-67°F

$39 Vol.

15%

68-69°F

$31 Vol.

33%

70-71°F

$154 Vol.

26%

72-73°F

$24 Vol.

11%

74°F or higher

$79 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 68-69°F (33%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for coastal stations like downtown USC amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow. Recent days featured max highs of 66-68°F under similar conditions—a thick low cloud deck trapping cool, moist Pacific air beneath a temperature inversion—preventing typical spring warming to the April climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating the tight race with 70-71°F (24.4%) are model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which show variability in afternoon cloud burn-off; earlier clearing could boost peaks via solar heating, while prolonged gloom caps them lower. Watch overnight forecast updates and morning observations for shifts, as resolution hinges on Wunderground data from the official station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,295
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 68-69°F (33%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for coastal stations like downtown USC amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow. Recent days featured max highs of 66-68°F under similar conditions—a thick low cloud deck trapping cool, moist Pacific air beneath a temperature inversion—preventing typical spring warming to the April climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating the tight race with 70-71°F (24.4%) are model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which show variability in afternoon cloud burn-off; earlier clearing could boost peaks via solar heating, while prolonged gloom caps them lower. Watch overnight forecast updates and morning observations for shifts, as resolution hinges on Wunderground data from the official station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,295
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "68-69°F" at 33%, followed by "70-71°F" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?" is "68-69°F" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "70-71°F" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.