Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
39°C 42%
40°C 42%
41°C 10%
38°C 7.5%
$37,063 Vol.
$37,063 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
8%
39°C
42%
40°C
42%
41°C
10%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
39°C 42%
40°C 42%
41°C 10%
38°C 7.5%
$37,063 Vol.
$37,063 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
8%
39°C
42%
40°C
42%
41°C
10%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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