Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
43%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
$212 Vol.
1%
29°C
$128 Vol.
1%
30°C
$34 Vol.
2%
31°C
$130 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,560 Vol.
23%
33°C
$367 Vol.
43%
34°C
$281 Vol.
27%
35°C
$117 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,001End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,001End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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