Recent monsoon activity and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are keeping maximum temperature forecasts for Lucknow on September 12 closely bunched between 30–34°C in market pricing. Official IMD guidance points to a 34°C high under partly cloudy skies with no warnings, while multiple models incorporate 60–90% rain or thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet daily variability from steering patterns and humidity levels near 80% sustains the even distribution across 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine landfall and intensification details that most directly influence peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
34%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
6%
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$902 Vol.
34%
33°C
$5 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
36%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are keeping maximum temperature forecasts for Lucknow on September 12 closely bunched between 30–34°C in market pricing. Official IMD guidance points to a 34°C high under partly cloudy skies with no warnings, while multiple models incorporate 60–90% rain or thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet daily variability from steering patterns and humidity levels near 80% sustains the even distribution across 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine landfall and intensification details that most directly influence peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$932End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are keeping maximum temperature forecasts for Lucknow on September 12 closely bunched between 30–34°C in market pricing. Official IMD guidance points to a 34°C high under partly cloudy skies with no warnings, while multiple models incorporate 60–90% rain or thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet daily variability from steering patterns and humidity levels near 80% sustains the even distribution across 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine landfall and intensification details that most directly influence peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$932End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are keeping maximum temperature forecasts for Lucknow on September 12 closely bunched between 30–34°C in market pricing. Official IMD guidance points to a 34°C high under partly cloudy skies with no warnings, while multiple models incorporate 60–90% rain or thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet daily variability from steering patterns and humidity levels near 80% sustains the even distribution across 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine landfall and intensification details that most directly influence peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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