**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** High moisture from the retreating monsoon keeps dew points elevated around 24–26°C, while 40–60% chances of isolated showers or thunderstorms could further moderate the low by trapping heat. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but recent model runs show slight variability in cloud cover that traders weigh when pricing outcomes clustered around 24–27°C versus the tails. The near-even split between lower and higher bins reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling under these conditions, with fresh IMD guidance and updated global model ensembles expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
21°C or below 71%
31°C or higher 70%
27°C 44%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
71%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
31%
28°C
24%
29°C
39%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
70%
21°C or below 71%
31°C or higher 70%
27°C 44%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
71%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$10 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** High moisture from the retreating monsoon keeps dew points elevated around 24–26°C, while 40–60% chances of isolated showers or thunderstorms could further moderate the low by trapping heat. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but recent model runs show slight variability in cloud cover that traders weigh when pricing outcomes clustered around 24–27°C versus the tails. The near-even split between lower and higher bins reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling under these conditions, with fresh IMD guidance and updated global model ensembles expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** High moisture from the retreating monsoon keeps dew points elevated around 24–26°C, while 40–60% chances of isolated showers or thunderstorms could further moderate the low by trapping heat. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but recent model runs show slight variability in cloud cover that traders weigh when pricing outcomes clustered around 24–27°C versus the tails. The near-even split between lower and higher bins reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling under these conditions, with fresh IMD guidance and updated global model ensembles expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** High moisture from the retreating monsoon keeps dew points elevated around 24–26°C, while 40–60% chances of isolated showers or thunderstorms could further moderate the low by trapping heat. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but recent model runs show slight variability in cloud cover that traders weigh when pricing outcomes clustered around 24–27°C versus the tails. The near-even split between lower and higher bins reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling under these conditions, with fresh IMD guidance and updated global model ensembles expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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