Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 Vol.
$96,510 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 Vol.
$96,510 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$3,991 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,846 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,762 Vol.
No
34°C
$24,197 Vol.
No
35°C
$17,664 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$17,489 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,099 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,264 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,163 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,021 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,016 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$96,510End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96,510End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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