Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami high temperature of 78-79°F on March 29 as the market leader at 34.5% implied probability, reflecting a consensus among GFS and European model ensembles showing peaks in the upper 70s amid lingering effects from a recent weak cool front and persistent mid-level clouds limiting solar insolation. Slightly cooler 76-77°F odds at 27% account for potential marine layer persistence and light onshore flow, while 80-81°F at 22% weighs afternoon boundary layer destabilization risks under partly sunny skies. Historical late-March norms average 79-80°F, but current 500-mb troughing caps upside potential; daily 00z/12z updates will clarify convective influences before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
78-79°F 29%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 11%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 29%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 11%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami high temperature of 78-79°F on March 29 as the market leader at 34.5% implied probability, reflecting a consensus among GFS and European model ensembles showing peaks in the upper 70s amid lingering effects from a recent weak cool front and persistent mid-level clouds limiting solar insolation. Slightly cooler 76-77°F odds at 27% account for potential marine layer persistence and light onshore flow, while 80-81°F at 22% weighs afternoon boundary layer destabilization risks under partly sunny skies. Historical late-March norms average 79-80°F, but current 500-mb troughing caps upside potential; daily 00z/12z updates will clarify convective influences before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions