Trader consensus favors 33°C (38%) over 32°C (31%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, propelled by the latest ensemble forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 32.5–33.5°C under partly cloudy skies with low thunderstorm risk. Singapore's equatorial climate delivers consistent March highs averaging 32.4°C, modulated by diurnal sea breezes and urban heat island amplification. The razor-thin margin hinges on afternoon convection probability: scattered showers could suppress maxima to 32°C via evaporative cooling, while prolonged insolation favors 33°C, mirroring 2024's El Niño-fueled warmth where 33°C+ occurred on 45% of similar days. Model spread uncertainty keeps 34°C viable at 16.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 9%
$27,322 Vol.
$27,322 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
31%
33°C
38%
34°C
17%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 9%
$27,322 Vol.
$27,322 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
31%
33°C
38%
34°C
17%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C (38%) over 32°C (31%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, propelled by the latest ensemble forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 32.5–33.5°C under partly cloudy skies with low thunderstorm risk. Singapore's equatorial climate delivers consistent March highs averaging 32.4°C, modulated by diurnal sea breezes and urban heat island amplification. The razor-thin margin hinges on afternoon convection probability: scattered showers could suppress maxima to 32°C via evaporative cooling, while prolonged insolation favors 33°C, mirroring 2024's El Niño-fueled warmth where 33°C+ occurred on 45% of similar days. Model spread uncertainty keeps 34°C viable at 16.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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