Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 (49.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs of 67-70°F under ridging high pressure aloft. Supporting factors include moderating southerly winds following a recent cool front, with dew points climbing to the 50s°F, fostering adiabatic warming; current morning lows around 52°F align with historical March 28 averages of 68°F from NOAA records. Uncertainty lingers from potential upstream cloudiness or shear-line effects, per NWS Dallas-Fort Worth updates, nudging odds toward adjacent bins like 66-67°F (17%). Traders eye the 12Z model refresh for resolution shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 50%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
50%
68°F or higher 50%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 (49.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs of 67-70°F under ridging high pressure aloft. Supporting factors include moderating southerly winds following a recent cool front, with dew points climbing to the 50s°F, fostering adiabatic warming; current morning lows around 52°F align with historical March 28 averages of 68°F from NOAA records. Uncertainty lingers from potential upstream cloudiness or shear-line effects, per NWS Dallas-Fort Worth updates, nudging odds toward adjacent bins like 66-67°F (17%). Traders eye the 12Z model refresh for resolution shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions