NEA Singapore's official forecast pegs the March 27 maximum at 33°C amid morning and late-afternoon thundery showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41.5% implied odds for that outcome over 33.0% for 32°C. This tight race reflects forecast uncertainty in tropical convection: early cloud cover or sea breezes could cap peaks at 32°C via evaporative cooling, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects and lingering El Niño warmth—evident in 2024's record March heat—to push 34°C (15.5%). Historical March 27 highs at Changi average 32.1°C but vary ±1.5°C with humidity and wind shear, per NEA climatology, heightening bets on narrow 1°C margins as models like ECMWF converge near 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
33°C 42%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
32%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 42%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
32%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA Singapore's official forecast pegs the March 27 maximum at 33°C amid morning and late-afternoon thundery showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41.5% implied odds for that outcome over 33.0% for 32°C. This tight race reflects forecast uncertainty in tropical convection: early cloud cover or sea breezes could cap peaks at 32°C via evaporative cooling, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects and lingering El Niño warmth—evident in 2024's record March heat—to push 34°C (15.5%). Historical March 27 highs at Changi average 32.1°C but vary ±1.5°C with humidity and wind shear, per NEA climatology, heightening bets on narrow 1°C margins as models like ECMWF converge near 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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