Latest ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and U.S. Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on March 24 clustering tightly around 11-13°C, driving the narrow spread in trader odds with 10-14°C options each above 17%. This reflects Ankara's continental climate in early spring, where diurnal maxima hinge on solar insolation moderated by lingering winter cold pools and variable cloud cover from recent frontal passages. Historical March highs average 12°C, but model divergence—GFS leaning warmer toward 14°C amid weak ridging, ECMWF cooler at 11°C with potential stratiform clouds—fuels uncertainty, muting extremes below 8°C or above 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates tomorrow could shift consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 24%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
13°C 17%
7°C or below
8%
8°C
9%
9°C
16%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
24%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
9%
12°C 24%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
13°C 17%
7°C or below
8%
8°C
9%
9°C
16%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
24%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and U.S. Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on March 24 clustering tightly around 11-13°C, driving the narrow spread in trader odds with 10-14°C options each above 17%. This reflects Ankara's continental climate in early spring, where diurnal maxima hinge on solar insolation moderated by lingering winter cold pools and variable cloud cover from recent frontal passages. Historical March highs average 12°C, but model divergence—GFS leaning warmer toward 14°C amid weak ridging, ECMWF cooler at 11°C with potential stratiform clouds—fuels uncertainty, muting extremes below 8°C or above 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates tomorrow could shift consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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