Trader consensus favors 21°C (30%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 26, narrowly ahead of 22°C (25.5%), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering peaks at 20.5-22°C under mild southerly winds and a warming ridge pattern. March climatology typically yields highs around 19°C in the Yangtze River basin, but recent warm air advection—evident in upstream station data—elevates expectations, offset by scattered clouds potentially capping diurnal heating. The 1°C model spread and urban heat island amplification in densely built Chongqing differentiate these frontrunners, with traders monitoring the next 12Z forecast run for shifts amid low volatility in upper-air patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 29%
22°C 26%
20°C 15%
23°C 12%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
29%
22°C
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 29%
22°C 26%
20°C 15%
23°C 12%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
29%
22°C
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 21°C (30%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 26, narrowly ahead of 22°C (25.5%), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering peaks at 20.5-22°C under mild southerly winds and a warming ridge pattern. March climatology typically yields highs around 19°C in the Yangtze River basin, but recent warm air advection—evident in upstream station data—elevates expectations, offset by scattered clouds potentially capping diurnal heating. The 1°C model spread and urban heat island amplification in densely built Chongqing differentiate these frontrunners, with traders monitoring the next 12Z forecast run for shifts amid low volatility in upper-air patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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