Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF peg Chongqing's March 27 high temperature at 19-21°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds atop those outcomes amid a mild spring air mass over the Yangtze basin. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime solar heating, with historical March highs averaging 18°C but recent days trending 1-2°C warmer due to urban heat island effects in this megacity. Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads: fuller insolation favors 21°C, while any diel timing of light showers or northerly winds could cap it at 19°C, underscoring the market's razor-thin implied probabilities reflective of short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
19°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 23%
18°C 15%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
14%
23°C
12%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 23%
18°C 15%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
14%
23°C
12%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF peg Chongqing's March 27 high temperature at 19-21°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds atop those outcomes amid a mild spring air mass over the Yangtze basin. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime solar heating, with historical March highs averaging 18°C but recent days trending 1-2°C warmer due to urban heat island effects in this megacity. Differentiation hinges on subtle model spreads: fuller insolation favors 21°C, while any diel timing of light showers or northerly winds could cap it at 19°C, underscoring the market's razor-thin implied probabilities reflective of short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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