Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (49.5%) in Milan today, closely followed by 22°C (36.5%), driven by the latest official forecasts from the Aeronautica Militare indicating a daytime maximum of 21°C under persistent clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This follows recent stormy conditions—rain, cold snaps, and low-elevation snow—that cleared yesterday, enabling strong solar heating from a cool morning start around 8–9°C. Regional ARPA Lombardia and other models like ECMWF align on mild southerly flows and above-average spring warmth (historical April highs average 17–18°C), though minor uncertainty persists from potential thin high clouds or exact urban heat effects at stations like Milano Linate. Hourly observational updates will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 48%
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 11.9%
20°C 3.9%
$36,798 Vol.
$36,798 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
48%
22°C
37%
23°C or higher
12%
21°C 48%
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 11.9%
20°C 3.9%
$36,798 Vol.
$36,798 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
14°C
$1,652 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,866 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,588 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,189 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4,273 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,727 Vol.
4%
21°C
$3,082 Vol.
48%
22°C
$2,657 Vol.
37%
23°C or higher
$6,203 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (49.5%) in Milan today, closely followed by 22°C (36.5%), driven by the latest official forecasts from the Aeronautica Militare indicating a daytime maximum of 21°C under persistent clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This follows recent stormy conditions—rain, cold snaps, and low-elevation snow—that cleared yesterday, enabling strong solar heating from a cool morning start around 8–9°C. Regional ARPA Lombardia and other models like ECMWF align on mild southerly flows and above-average spring warmth (historical April highs average 17–18°C), though minor uncertainty persists from potential thin high clouds or exact urban heat effects at stations like Milano Linate. Hourly observational updates will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$36,798End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (49.5%) in Milan today, closely followed by 22°C (36.5%), driven by the latest official forecasts from the Aeronautica Militare indicating a daytime maximum of 21°C under persistent clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This follows recent stormy conditions—rain, cold snaps, and low-elevation snow—that cleared yesterday, enabling strong solar heating from a cool morning start around 8–9°C. Regional ARPA Lombardia and other models like ECMWF align on mild southerly flows and above-average spring warmth (historical April highs average 17–18°C), though minor uncertainty persists from potential thin high clouds or exact urban heat effects at stations like Milano Linate. Hourly observational updates will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,798End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (49.5%) in Milan today, closely followed by 22°C (36.5%), driven by the latest official forecasts from the Aeronautica Militare indicating a daytime maximum of 21°C under persistent clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This follows recent stormy conditions—rain, cold snaps, and low-elevation snow—that cleared yesterday, enabling strong solar heating from a cool morning start around 8–9°C. Regional ARPA Lombardia and other models like ECMWF align on mild southerly flows and above-average spring warmth (historical April highs average 17–18°C), though minor uncertainty persists from potential thin high clouds or exact urban heat effects at stations like Milano Linate. Hourly observational updates will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions